Elo model predictions | K=6.5 | Home Adv=16.0 | Platt-calibrated | April 03, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets | Hornets 🔥 | 85% | +406 pts | P. Siakam 23.9p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 16.9p / 2.8r / 7.7a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
B. Miller 20.4p / 5.0r / 3.5a L. Ball 19.6p / 4.8r / 7.1a K. Knueppel 18.8p / 5.4r / 3.4a |
| Minnesota Timberwolves @ Philadelphia 76ers | Timberwolves | 53% | 59 pts | A. Edwards 29.3p / 5.1r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.1p / 6.8r / 5.1a J. McDaniels 14.8p / 4.2r / 2.7a |
T. Maxey 28.8p / 4.2r / 6.8a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.4r / 3.9a P. George 17.5p / 5.4r / 3.7a |
| Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets | Hawks 🔥 | 77% | 333 pts | J. Johnson 22.8p / 10.3r / 8.1a N. Alexander-Walker 20.6p / 3.5r / 3.7a C. McCollum 18.6p / 3.3r / 3.8a |
M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.3p / 4.1r / 1.6a N. Claxton 11.7p / 7.0r / 3.7a |
| Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks | Knicks 🔥 | 85% | +279 pts | J. Giddey 17.2p / 8.4r / 9.2a M. Buzelis 16.4p / 5.8r / 2.1a C. Sexton 15.2p / 2.0r / 3.3a |
J. Brunson 26.1p / 3.4r / 6.7a K. Towns 20.1p / 11.9r / 2.9a O. Anunoby 16.7p / 5.2r / 2.2a |
| Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets | Rockets 🔥 | 87% | +346 pts | L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
K. Durant 25.8p / 5.4r / 4.7a A. Sengun 20.6p / 8.9r / 6.2a A. Thompson 17.9p / 7.8r / 5.3a |
| Toronto Raptors @ Memphis Grizzlies | Raptors ✅ | 68% | 216 pts | B. Ingram 21.4p / 5.5r / 3.6a R. Barrett 19.1p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.3p / 7.6r / 5.9a |
T. Jerome 19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a S. Aldama 14.0p / 6.7r / 2.9a |
| Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks | Celtics 🔥 | 82% | 328 pts | J. Brown 28.8p / 7.0r / 5.3a J. Tatum 21.3p / 9.8r / 4.8a P. Pritchard 17.0p / 4.0r / 5.1a |
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.1p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
| Orlando Magic @ Dallas Mavericks | Magic ✅ | 67% | 187 pts | P. Banchero 22.4p / 8.3r / 5.1a F. Wagner 21.0p / 5.6r / 3.6a D. Bane 20.3p / 4.1r / 4.2a |
C. Flagg 20.3p / 6.6r / 4.5a N. Marshall 15.5p / 4.7r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.1p / 7.1r / 1.8a |
| New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings | Pelicans 🔥 | 75% | 124 pts | T. Murphy III 21.6p / 5.7r / 3.8a Z. Williamson 21.2p / 5.7r / 3.2a S. Bey 17.4p / 5.6r / 2.5a |
Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.6p / 3.0r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
