Elo model predictions | K=4.5 | Home Adv=20.0 | Platt-calibrated | April 07, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards | Bulls | 54% | 146 pts | J. Giddey 17.0p / 8.3r / 9.1a M. Buzelis 16.3p / 5.8r / 2.0a C. Sexton 15.3p / 2.2r / 3.3a |
A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.3p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
| Charlotte Hornets @ Boston Celtics | Celtics ✅ | 67% | +67 pts | B. Miller 20.2p / 5.0r / 3.4a L. Ball 19.8p / 4.8r / 7.2a K. Knueppel 18.7p / 5.3r / 3.4a |
J. Brown 28.7p / 7.0r / 5.2a J. Tatum 21.5p / 10.1r / 5.2a P. Pritchard 17.0p / 4.0r / 5.1a |
| Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets | Bucks | 52% | 106 pts | G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.2p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.3p / 4.1r / 1.6a N. Claxton 11.7p / 6.9r / 3.7a |
| Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors | Raptors ✅ | 60% | +4 pts | N. Powell 22.1p / 3.6r / 2.6a T. Herro 21.4p / 4.6r / 3.9a B. Adebayo 20.2p / 10.0r / 3.0a |
B. Ingram 21.3p / 5.5r / 3.6a R. Barrett 19.1p / 5.2r / 3.4a S. Barnes 18.1p / 7.5r / 5.9a |
| Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers | Timberwolves 🔥 | 85% | 366 pts | A. Edwards 28.9p / 5.0r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.1p / 6.8r / 5.1a J. McDaniels 14.8p / 4.2r / 2.7a |
P. Siakam 24.0p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 16.9p / 2.8r / 7.7a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
| Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans | Pelicans 🔥 | 76% | +130 pts | L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
T. Murphy III 21.5p / 5.7r / 3.8a Z. Williamson 21.0p / 5.7r / 3.2a S. Bey 17.7p / 5.6r / 2.5a |
| Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors | Warriors 🔥 | 77% | +188 pts | Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.4p / 2.9r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
S. Curry 27.3p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 17.0p / 5.1r / 2.6a |
| Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers | Thunder 🔥 | 72% | 190 pts | S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.4p / 4.4r / 6.5a C. Holmgren 17.0p / 8.8r / 1.6a J. Williams 17.0p / 4.6r / 5.5a |
L. Doncic 33.5p / 7.7r / 8.3a A. Reaves 23.3p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 20.8p / 6.1r / 7.1a |
| Dallas Mavericks @ LA Clippers | Clippers 🔥 | 85% | +222 pts | C. Flagg 21.1p / 6.6r / 4.6a N. Marshall 15.4p / 4.7r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.2p / 7.0r / 1.8a |
K. Leonard 28.0p / 6.3r / 3.6a D. Garland 18.9p / 2.4r / 6.8a B. Mathurin 18.2p / 5.5r / 2.3a |
| Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns | Suns | 51% | +-49 pts | K. Durant 25.9p / 5.4r / 4.8a A. Sengun 20.6p / 8.8r / 6.2a A. Thompson 17.9p / 7.8r / 5.3a |
D. Booker 25.8p / 3.9r / 6.0a D. Brooks 20.4p / 3.6r / 1.8a J. Green 18.4p / 3.7r / 3.0a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
