NBA Game Predictions - March 17, 2026

Updated: 2026-03-17 15:59:58

Matchup      Score   Status       Home%   Elo H/A    Proj     --- Away Top 2 ---                      --- Home Top 2 ---

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MIA @ CHO    —       7:00 pm ET      53%  1576/1553  216.9   N. Powell 22.5   |  T. Herro 21.5     B. Miller 20.4   |  L. Ball 19.3   

  MIA   N. Powell  22.5pts  3.6reb  2.6ast     T. Herro  21.5pts  4.6reb  3.8ast

  CHO   B. Miller  20.4pts  5.1reb  3.4ast     L. Ball  19.3pts  4.8reb  7.1ast

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OKC @ ORL    —       7:00 pm ET      34%  1531/1689  215.6   S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.6  |  J. Williams 17.5   P. Banchero 22.2  |  F. Wagner 21.3 

  OKC   S. Gilgeous-Alexander  31.6pts  4.5reb  6.7ast     J. Williams  17.5pts  4.7reb  5.4ast

  ORL   P. Banchero  22.2pts  8.6reb  5.0ast     F. Wagner  21.3pts  5.8reb  3.6ast

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DET @ WAS    —       7:00 pm ET      15%  1300/1630  185.0   C. Cunningham 24.9  |  J. Duren 18.7     C. McCollum 18.8  |  A. Sarr 16.9   

  DET   C. Cunningham  24.9pts  5.6reb  10.1ast     J. Duren  18.7pts  10.6reb  1.7ast

  WAS   C. McCollum  18.8pts  3.5reb  3.6ast     A. Sarr  16.9pts  7.5reb  2.6ast

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IND @ NYK    —       7:30 pm ET      91%  1614/1293  205.3   P. Siakam 24.0   |  B. Mathurin 17.8   J. Brunson 26.3  |  K. Towns 20.0  

  IND   P. Siakam  24.0pts  6.7reb  3.9ast     B. Mathurin  17.8pts  5.4reb  2.3ast

  NYK   J. Brunson  26.3pts  3.4reb  6.6ast     K. Towns  20.0pts  11.9reb  2.9ast

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CLE @ MIL    —       8:00 pm ET      26%  1415/1586  229.3   D. Mitchell 28.2  |  M. Strus 24.0     G. Antetokounmpo 27.6  |  K. Porter Jr. 17.2

  CLE   D. Mitchell  28.2pts  4.4reb  5.9ast     M. Strus  24.0pts  8.0reb  1.0ast

  MIL   G. Antetokounmpo  27.6pts  9.8reb  5.4ast     K. Porter Jr.  17.2pts  5.3reb  7.3ast

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PHO @ MIN    —       8:00 pm ET      56%  1552/1541  217.7   D. Booker 25.7   |  D. Brooks 20.9    A. Edwards 29.5  |  J. Randle 21.1 

  PHO   D. Booker  25.7pts  4.0reb  6.0ast     D. Brooks  20.9pts  3.7reb  1.8ast

  MIN   A. Edwards  29.5pts  5.1reb  3.7ast     J. Randle  21.1pts  6.9reb  5.1ast

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PHI @ DEN    —       10:00 pm ET     63%  1569/1515  235.0   T. Maxey 29.0    |  J. Embiid 26.6    N. Jokić 28.6    |  J. Murray 25.4 

  PHI   T. Maxey  29.0pts  4.1reb  6.7ast     J. Embiid  26.6pts  7.5reb  3.9ast

  DEN   N. Jokić  28.6pts  12.7reb  10.5ast     J. Murray  25.4pts  4.3reb  7.1ast

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SAS @ SAC    —       10:00 pm ET     13%  1345/1688  209.9   V. Wembanyama 24.3  |  D. Fox 19.1       Z. LaVine 19.2   |  D. DeRozan 18.8

  SAS   V. Wembanyama  24.3pts  11.2reb  2.9ast     D. Fox  19.1pts  3.7reb  6.3ast

  SAC   Z. LaVine  19.2pts  2.8reb  2.3ast     D. DeRozan  18.8pts  3.0reb  4.0ast

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Top 2 PPG scorers shown per team (Initial. Lastname format)

Teams shown as standard 3-letter abbreviations

Projections include home advantage and current roster

NBA Game Predictions – March 17, 2026

Advanced Elo model (K=7.5 | Home=39.5 | Boost=30.0) • Updated 2026-03-17 12:37:14

Matchup	Score / Status	Home Win %	Elo H / A	Projected Points Away – Home	Top 5 Away Players	Top 5 Home Players
Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets	0 – 0 7:00 pm ET	54%	1598 1563 (+35)	103.4 – 113.5	Powell | P: 22.5 A: 2.6 R: 3.6 Herro | P: 21.5 A: 3.8 R: 4.6 Adebayo | P: 20.0 A: 2.9 R: 9.7 Wiggins | P: 15.9 A: 2.8 R: 5.1 Jaquez Jr. | P: 15.1 A: 4.7 R: 5.2	Miller | P: 20.4 A: 3.4 R: 5.1 Ball | P: 19.3 A: 7.1 R: 4.8 Knueppel | P: 19.3 A: 3.4 R: 5.3 Bridges | P: 17.6 A: 3.4 R: 5.8 Sexton | P: 14.2 A: 3.7 R: 1.9
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Orlando Magic	0 – 0 7:00 pm ET	34%	1551 1705 (-154)	110.8 – 104.8	Gilgeous-Alexander | P: 31.6 A: 6.7 R: 4.5 Williams | P: 17.5 A: 5.4 R: 4.7 Holmgren | P: 17.3 A: 1.7 R: 9.0 Mitchell | P: 14.3 A: 3.7 R: 3.5 McCain | P: 11.4 A: 0.8 R: 2.3	Banchero | P: 22.2 A: 5.0 R: 8.6 Wagner | P: 21.3 A: 3.6 R: 5.8 Bane | P: 20.6 A: 4.2 R: 4.1 Black | P: 15.3 A: 3.8 R: 3.9 Suggs | P: 13.9 A: 5.3 R: 3.8
Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards	0 – 0 7:00 pm ET	12%	1277 1659 (-382)	88.8 – 96.2	Cunningham | P: 24.9 A: 10.1 R: 5.6 Duren | P: 18.7 A: 1.7 R: 10.6 Harris | P: 13.3 A: 2.2 R: 5.1 Robinson | P: 11.9 A: 2.0 R: 2.7 Thompson | P: 10.1 A: 2.9 R: 5.8	McCollum | P: 18.8 A: 3.6 R: 3.5 Sarr | P: 16.9 A: 2.6 R: 7.5 Young | P: 15.2 A: 6.2 R: 3.0 George | P: 14.8 A: 4.5 R: 5.1 Johnson | P: 12.4 A: 2.0 R: 2.8
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks	0 – 0 7:30 pm ET	93%	1631 1266 (+365)	110.2 – 95.2	Siakam | P: 24.0 A: 3.9 R: 6.7 Mathurin | P: 17.8 A: 2.3 R: 5.4 Nembhard | P: 17.0 A: 7.3 R: 2.8 Nesmith | P: 13.5 A: 2.1 R: 4.3 Walker | P: 11.3 A: 2.4 R: 5.1	Brunson | P: 26.3 A: 6.6 R: 3.4 Towns | P: 20.0 A: 2.9 R: 11.9 Anunoby | P: 16.7 A: 2.2 R: 5.3 Bridges | P: 14.8 A: 3.8 R: 4.1 McBride | P: 12.9 A: 2.8 R: 2.6
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks	0 – 0 8:00 pm ET	20%	1391 1621 (-230)	105.4 – 123.9	Mitchell | P: 28.2 A: 5.9 R: 4.4 Strus | P: 24.0 A: 1.0 R: 8.0 Harden | P: 19.4 A: 7.7 R: 5.1 Garland | P: 18.0 A: 6.9 R: 2.4 Mobley | P: 17.9 A: 3.6 R: 8.7	Antetokounmpo | P: 27.6 A: 5.4 R: 9.8 Porter Jr. | P: 17.2 A: 7.3 R: 5.3 Rollins | P: 16.8 A: 5.6 R: 4.6 Portis | P: 13.7 A: 1.5 R: 6.4 Kuzma | P: 13.2 A: 2.6 R: 4.6
Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves	0 – 0 8:00 pm ET	56%	1558 1549 (+9)	108.1 – 109.6	Booker | P: 25.7 A: 6.0 R: 4.0 Brooks | P: 20.9 A: 1.8 R: 3.7 Green | P: 17.6 A: 2.5 R: 3.5 Allen | P: 17.2 A: 4.1 R: 3.0 Gillespie | P: 13.1 A: 4.7 R: 4.2	Edwards | P: 29.5 A: 3.7 R: 5.1 Randle | P: 21.1 A: 5.1 R: 6.9 McDaniels | P: 14.5 A: 2.8 R: 4.2 Reid | P: 13.7 A: 2.3 R: 6.2 DiVincenzo | P: 12.5 A: 4.1 R: 4.5
Philadelphia 76ers @ Denver Nuggets	0 – 0 10:00 pm ET	65%	1576 1507 (+69)	116.7 – 118.3	Maxey | P: 29.0 A: 6.7 R: 4.1 Embiid | P: 26.6 A: 3.9 R: 7.5 George | P: 16.0 A: 3.7 R: 5.1 Edgecombe | P: 15.4 A: 3.9 R: 5.6 Oubre Jr. | P: 14.7 A: 1.7 R: 4.9	Jokić | P: 28.6 A: 10.5 R: 12.7 Murray | P: 25.4 A: 7.1 R: 4.3 Gordon | P: 17.0 A: 2.5 R: 6.1 Watson | P: 14.9 A: 2.0 R: 4.9 Hardaway Jr. | P: 13.9 A: 1.3 R: 2.6
San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings	0 – 0 10:00 pm ET	10%	1323 1717 (-394)	102.1 – 107.9	Wembanyama | P: 24.3 A: 2.9 R: 11.2 Fox | P: 19.1 A: 6.3 R: 3.7 Castle | P: 16.7 A: 7.0 R: 5.1 Vassell | P: 14.3 A: 2.5 R: 3.9 Johnson | P: 12.7 A: 1.3 R: 5.5	LaVine | P: 19.2 A: 2.3 R: 2.8 DeRozan | P: 18.8 A: 4.0 R: 3.0 Sabonis | P: 15.8 A: 4.1 R: 11.4 Westbrook | P: 15.4 A: 6.6 R: 5.5 Murray | P: 14.0 A: 1.7 R: 5.7

Player Stats Legend:
P = Points per game • A = Assists per game • R = Rebounds per game
Top 5 scorers shown per team (based on season averages)

• Player stats from Basketball-Reference • Predictions generated with advanced Elo model • For entertainment and analysis purposes only

Marathon Runner Shells Stats Table

Stat	Destroyer	Assassin	Recon	Thief	Triage	Vandal	Rook
Heat Capacity	15	10	20	15	10	25	15
Agility	10	20	15	20	10	30	20
Loot Speed	5	15	10	25	10	5	25
Melee Damage	15	10	5	10	5	5	10
Prime Recovery	5	10	5	10	10	10	10
Tactical Recovery	10	5	10	5	5	5	5
Self-Repair Speed	15	10	5	5	25	5	5
Finisher Siphon	10	10	25	15	5	10	25
Revive Speed	10	15	10	5	20	5	5
Hardware	25	10	10	5	15	10	5
Firewall	20	20	15	15	15	5	15
Fall Resistance	5	10	5	20	5	10	20
Ping Duration	5	10	25	5	15	5	5

• Heat Capacity: Ability heat you can store before overheating (more chained ability uses).
• Agility: Movement responsiveness (strafe, acceleration, overall feel).
• Loot Speed: Speed for opening chests and loot interactions.
• Melee Damage: Strength of melee attacks and finishers.
• Prime Recovery: Recharge rate of your Prime ability.
• Tactical Recovery: Recharge rate of your Tactical ability.
• Self-Repair Speed: Rate at which health/self-repair restores you.
• Finisher Siphon: Health/energy/resources gained from finishers.
• Revive Speed: Speed of reviving downed teammates.
• Hardware: Resistance to physical damage/environmental hazards.
• Firewall: Resistance to hacks, digital effects, and debuffs.
• Fall Resistance: Mitigation of fall damage and safe drop margin.
• Ping Duration: How long pings keep enemies/objects revealed.