Elo model predictions | K=6.5 | Home Adv=16.0 | Platt-calibrated | March 31, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks @ Milwaukee Bucks | Bucks ✅ | 68% | +31 pts | C. Flagg 20.3p / 6.5r / 4.6a N. Marshall 15.5p / 4.7r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.1p / 7.1r / 1.8a |
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.0p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
| Phoenix Suns @ Orlando Magic | Suns | 55% | 59 pts | D. Booker 25.7p / 3.9r / 6.0a D. Brooks 20.9p / 3.7r / 1.8a J. Green 18.3p / 3.8r / 2.9a |
P. Banchero 22.6p / 8.3r / 5.1a F. Wagner 21.3p / 5.8r / 3.6a D. Bane 20.3p / 4.1r / 4.2a |
| Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets | Hornets 🔥 | 80% | 351 pts | B. Miller 20.3p / 5.1r / 3.4a L. Ball 19.7p / 4.8r / 7.0a K. Knueppel 18.9p / 5.4r / 3.4a |
M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.4p / 4.2r / 1.7a N. Claxton 11.8p / 7.0r / 3.7a |
| Toronto Raptors @ Detroit Pistons | Pistons ✅ | 67% | +164 pts | B. Ingram 21.4p / 5.6r / 3.7a R. Barrett 19.0p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.6p / 7.7r / 5.8a |
C. Cunningham 24.5p / 5.6r / 9.9a J. Duren 19.3p / 10.6r / 1.8a T. Harris 13.4p / 5.2r / 2.5a |
| New York Knicks @ Houston Rockets | Rockets | 51% | +-45 pts | J. Brunson 26.3p / 3.4r / 6.7a K. Towns 20.0p / 11.9r / 2.8a O. Anunoby 16.7p / 5.1r / 2.2a |
K. Durant 25.9p / 5.4r / 4.6a A. Sengun 20.7p / 9.0r / 6.2a A. Thompson 17.9p / 7.9r / 5.2a |
| Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Lakers | Lakers | 57% | +-15 pts | D. Mitchell 28.0p / 4.5r / 5.7a J. Harden 23.8p / 5.0r / 8.2a E. Mobley 18.4p / 9.0r / 3.6a |
L. Dončić 33.7p / 7.8r / 8.2a A. Reaves 23.5p / 4.7r / 5.6a L. James 20.9p / 6.0r / 7.0a |
| Portland Trail Blazers @ LA Clippers | Clippers | 52% | +58 pts | D. Avdija 23.8p / 6.9r / 6.7a S. Sharpe 21.4p / 4.4r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.1a |
K. Leonard 28.2p / 6.3r / 3.6a D. Garland 19.1p / 2.4r / 6.9a B. Mathurin 18.8p / 5.6r / 2.3a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
