Elo model predictions | K=6.5 | Home Adv=16.0 | Platt-calibrated | March 30, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat | Heat | 52% | +7 pts | T. Maxey 28.9p / 4.2r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.5r / 4.0a P. George 16.7p / 5.4r / 3.7a |
N. Powell 22.1p / 3.6r / 2.6a T. Herro 20.9p / 4.8r / 3.9a B. Adebayo 20.2p / 9.9r / 3.0a |
| Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks | Celtics ✅ | 62% | 111 pts | J. Brown 28.6p / 7.0r / 5.2a J. Tatum 19.8p / 9.5r / 3.8a D. White 17.1p / 4.5r / 5.5a |
J. Johnson 22.9p / 10.2r / 8.1a N. Alexander-Walker 20.5p / 3.5r / 3.8a C. McCollum 18.8p / 3.4r / 3.8a |
| Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies | Suns 🔥 | 71% | 241 pts | D. Booker 25.5p / 3.9r / 6.0a D. Brooks 20.9p / 3.7r / 1.8a J. Green 18.2p / 3.7r / 2.9a |
T. Jerome 19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a S. Aldama 14.0p / 6.7r / 2.9a |
| Chicago Bulls @ San Antonio Spurs | Spurs 🔥 | 79% | +433 pts | J. Giddey 17.4p / 8.4r / 9.2a M. Buzelis 16.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a C. Sexton 15.0p / 2.0r / 3.3a |
V. Wembanyama 24.2p / 11.3r / 3.0a D. Fox 18.8p / 3.8r / 6.3a S. Castle 16.6p / 5.1r / 7.2a |
| Minnesota Timberwolves @ Dallas Mavericks | Timberwolves 🔥 | 79% | 257 pts | A. Edwards 29.5p / 5.1r / 3.7a J. Randle 20.9p / 6.8r / 5.1a J. McDaniels 14.8p / 4.2r / 2.7a |
C. Flagg 20.4p / 6.6r / 4.6a N. Marshall 15.5p / 4.7r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.1p / 7.1r / 1.8a |
| Cleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz | Cavaliers 🔥 | 77% | 372 pts | D. Mitchell 27.9p / 4.5r / 5.8a J. Harden 24.0p / 5.0r / 8.1a E. Mobley 18.2p / 8.9r / 3.6a |
L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
| Detroit Pistons @ Oklahoma City Thunder | Thunder ✅ | 68% | +76 pts | C. Cunningham 24.5p / 5.6r / 9.9a J. Duren 19.3p / 10.6r / 1.8a T. Harris 13.4p / 5.2r / 2.5a |
S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.4p / 4.4r / 6.6a J. Williams 17.2p / 4.7r / 5.4a C. Holmgren 17.1p / 8.9r / 1.7a |
| Washington Wizards @ Los Angeles Lakers | Lakers 🔥 | 78% | +397 pts | A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.3p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
L. Dončić 33.7p / 7.8r / 8.2a A. Reaves 23.6p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 20.9p / 6.0r / 6.9a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
