Elo model predictions | K=6.5 | Home Adv=16.0 | Platt-calibrated | March 29, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers @ Milwaukee Bucks | Clippers ✅ | 63% | 193 pts | K. Leonard 28.3p / 6.3r / 3.6a D. Garland 19.2p / 2.4r / 6.8a B. Mathurin 18.6p / 5.6r / 2.3a |
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.0p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
| Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers | Heat 🔥 | 74% | 350 pts | N. Powell 22.1p / 3.6r / 2.6a T. Herro 20.9p / 4.8r / 3.9a B. Adebayo 20.2p / 9.9r / 3.0a |
P. Siakam 23.7p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 17.0p / 2.8r / 7.6a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
| Sacramento Kings @ Brooklyn Nets | Nets | 53% | +-22 pts | Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.5p / 3.0r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.3p / 4.1r / 1.7a N. Claxton 11.8p / 7.0r / 3.7a |
| Boston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets | Celtics | 54% | 64 pts | J. Brown 28.6p / 7.0r / 5.2a J. Tatum 19.8p / 9.5r / 3.8a D. White 17.1p / 4.5r / 5.5a |
B. Miller 20.5p / 5.1r / 3.4a L. Ball 19.7p / 4.8r / 7.1a K. Knueppel 19.0p / 5.4r / 3.5a |
| Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors | Raptors ✅ | 62% | +15 pts | P. Banchero 22.8p / 8.4r / 5.1a F. Wagner 21.3p / 5.8r / 3.6a D. Bane 20.4p / 4.2r / 4.2a |
B. Ingram 21.4p / 5.6r / 3.7a R. Barrett 18.9p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.5p / 7.8r / 5.6a |
| Washington Wizards @ Portland Trail Blazers | Blazers 🔥 | 82% | +271 pts | A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.3p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
D. Avdija 23.9p / 6.9r / 6.7a S. Sharpe 21.4p / 4.4r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.1a |
| Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans | Rockets ✅ | 66% | 173 pts | K. Durant 26.0p / 5.4r / 4.6a A. Sengun 20.4p / 8.9r / 6.2a A. Thompson 17.9p / 7.9r / 5.2a |
T. Murphy III 21.7p / 5.7r / 3.8a Z. Williamson 21.4p / 5.8r / 3.2a S. Bey 17.4p / 5.6r / 2.6a |
| New York Knicks @ Oklahoma City Thunder | Thunder 🔥 | 73% | +144 pts | J. Brunson 26.2p / 3.4r / 6.7a K. Towns 20.1p / 11.9r / 2.8a O. Anunoby 16.8p / 5.2r / 2.2a |
S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.4p / 4.4r / 6.6a J. Williams 17.2p / 4.7r / 5.4a C. Holmgren 17.1p / 8.9r / 1.7a |
| Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets | Nuggets 🔥 | 77% | +147 pts | S. Curry 27.2p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 17.1p / 5.0r / 2.7a |
N. Jokić 27.9p / 12.8r / 10.8a J. Murray 25.5p / 4.4r / 7.2a A. Gordon 16.6p / 5.9r / 2.5a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
