Elo model predictions | K=6.5 | Home Adv=16.0 | Platt-calibrated | March 28, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs @ Milwaukee Bucks | Spurs 🔥 | 94% | 449 pts | V. Wembanyama 24.2p / 11.2r / 3.0a D. Fox 18.9p / 3.8r / 6.3a S. Castle 16.5p / 5.0r / 7.1a |
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.1p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
| Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets | Hornets 🔥 | 82% | +120 pts | T. Maxey 29.0p / 4.1r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.5r / 4.0a P. George 16.4p / 5.2r / 3.7a |
B. Miller 20.3p / 5.0r / 3.5a L. Ball 19.7p / 4.8r / 7.1a K. Knueppel 19.0p / 5.3r / 3.4a |
| Sacramento Kings @ Atlanta Hawks | Hawks 🔥 | 90% | +297 pts | Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.2p / 3.0r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
J. Johnson 22.8p / 10.3r / 8.1a N. Alexander-Walker 20.4p / 3.4r / 3.7a C. McCollum 18.8p / 3.4r / 3.8a |
| Chicago Bulls @ Memphis Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 54% | +-61 pts | J. Giddey 17.6p / 8.3r / 9.2a M. Buzelis 16.3p / 5.6r / 2.0a C. Sexton 14.7p / 2.0r / 3.4a |
T. Jerome 19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a S. Aldama 14.0p / 6.7r / 2.9a |
| Detroit Pistons @ Minnesota Timberwolves | Pistons | 56% | 114 pts | C. Cunningham 24.5p / 5.6r / 9.9a J. Duren 19.3p / 10.6r / 1.7a T. Harris 13.3p / 5.2r / 2.4a |
A. Edwards 29.5p / 5.1r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.1p / 6.8r / 5.1a J. McDaniels 14.8p / 4.2r / 2.7a |
| Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns | Suns 🔥 | 91% | +277 pts | L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
D. Booker 25.5p / 3.9r / 5.9a D. Brooks 20.9p / 3.7r / 1.8a J. Green 17.7p / 3.6r / 2.9a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
