Elo model predictions | K=13.3 | Home Adv=39.3 | Platt-calibrated | March 25, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons | Pistons ✅ | 64% | +106 pts | J. Johnson 22.7p / 10.4r / 8.0a N. Alexander-Walker 20.4p / 3.4r / 3.7a C. McCollum 18.6p / 3.4r / 3.7a |
C. Cunningham 24.5p / 5.6r / 9.9a J. Duren 19.2p / 10.5r / 1.7a T. Harris 13.1p / 5.2r / 2.4a |
| Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers | Lakers 🔥 | 85% | 472 pts | L. Dončić 33.4p / 7.9r / 8.4a A. Reaves 23.5p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 21.0p / 5.9r / 6.9a |
P. Siakam 24.0p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 17.1p / 2.9r / 7.4a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
| Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers | 76ers 🔥 | 71% | +149 pts | J. Giddey 17.5p / 8.3r / 9.1a M. Buzelis 16.2p / 5.6r / 2.0a C. Sexton 14.7p / 2.0r / 3.4a |
T. Maxey 29.0p / 4.1r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.6p / 7.5r / 3.9a P. George 16.0p / 5.1r / 3.7a |
| Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics | Thunder | 56% | 122 pts | S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5p / 4.5r / 6.6a J. Williams 17.5p / 4.7r / 5.4a C. Holmgren 17.2p / 9.0r / 1.7a |
J. Brown 28.5p / 7.0r / 5.1a J. Tatum 19.1p / 8.9r / 3.3a D. White 17.3p / 4.5r / 5.5a |
| Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers | Cavaliers ✅ | 67% | +114 pts | N. Powell 22.3p / 3.6r / 2.6a T. Herro 21.4p / 5.0r / 3.8a B. Adebayo 20.3p / 9.8r / 2.9a |
D. Mitchell 28.0p / 4.5r / 5.8a J. Harden 24.1p / 5.0r / 8.0a E. Mobley 18.3p / 8.9r / 3.6a |
| San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies | Spurs 🔥 | 87% | 531 pts | V. Wembanyama 24.3p / 11.2r / 3.0a D. Fox 18.9p / 3.8r / 6.3a S. Castle 16.5p / 5.1r / 7.1a |
T. Jerome 19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a S. Aldama 14.0p / 6.7r / 2.9a |
| Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz | Jazz ✅ | 64% | +69 pts | A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.5p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
| Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 58% | +19 pts | K. Durant 25.9p / 5.5r / 4.4a A. Sengun 20.4p / 9.0r / 6.2a A. Thompson 18.0p / 7.8r / 5.2a |
A. Edwards 29.5p / 5.1r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.0p / 6.8r / 5.1a J. McDaniels 14.6p / 4.3r / 2.8a |
| Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets | Nuggets 🔥 | 83% | +312 pts | C. Flagg 20.3p / 6.6r / 4.6a N. Marshall 15.3p / 4.8r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.2p / 6.9r / 1.8a |
N. Jokić 28.0p / 12.6r / 10.6a J. Murray 25.1p / 4.4r / 7.1a A. Gordon 16.6p / 5.9r / 2.5a |
| Brooklyn Nets @ Golden State Warriors | Warriors 🔥 | 75% | +199 pts | M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.5p / 4.1r / 1.7a N. Claxton 11.8p / 7.0r / 3.8a |
S. Curry 27.2p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 16.7p / 4.8r / 2.7a |
| Milwaukee Bucks @ Portland Trail Blazers | Blazers 🔥 | 71% | +160 pts | G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 16.8p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
D. Avdija 24.1p / 6.9r / 6.7a S. Sharpe 21.4p / 4.4r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.2a |
| Toronto Raptors @ LA Clippers | Clippers | 57% | +23 pts | B. Ingram 21.6p / 5.6r / 3.7a R. Barrett 19.1p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.6p / 7.8r / 5.4a |
K. Leonard 28.3p / 6.3r / 3.6a D. Garland 18.8p / 2.4r / 6.9a B. Mathurin 18.5p / 5.6r / 2.3a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
