Elo model predictions | K=13.3 | Home Adv=39.3 | Platt-calibrated | March 24, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets | Hornets 🔥 | 84% | +370 pts | Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.4p / 2.9r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
B. Miller 20.4p / 5.0r / 3.5a L. Ball 19.7p / 4.8r / 7.1a K. Knueppel 19.1p / 5.3r / 3.4a |
| New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks | Knicks 🔥 | 74% | +204 pts | T. Murphy III 21.8p / 5.7r / 3.8a Z. Williamson 21.3p / 5.8r / 3.3a D. Murray 18.7p / 5.1r / 6.2a |
J. Brunson 26.1p / 3.4r / 6.6a K. Towns 20.2p / 12.0r / 2.9a O. Anunoby 16.7p / 5.2r / 2.2a |
| Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers | Cavaliers ✅ | 68% | +129 pts | P. Banchero 22.5p / 8.4r / 5.1a F. Wagner 21.3p / 5.8r / 3.6a D. Bane 20.4p / 4.2r / 4.2a |
D. Mitchell 28.0p / 4.5r / 5.8a J. Harden 24.1p / 5.0r / 8.0a E. Mobley 18.3p / 8.9r / 3.6a |
| Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns | Nuggets | 52% | 70 pts | N. Jokić 28.0p / 12.6r / 10.6a J. Murray 25.1p / 4.4r / 7.1a A. Gordon 16.6p / 5.9r / 2.5a |
D. Booker 25.5p / 3.9r / 5.9a D. Brooks 20.9p / 3.7r / 1.8a J. Green 17.6p / 3.5r / 2.8a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
