Elo model predictions | K=10.0 | Home Adv=31.6 | Platt-calibrated | March 23, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons | Pistons ✅ | 60% | +59 pts | L. Dončić 33.4p / 7.9r / 8.4a A. Reaves 23.5p / 4.8r / 5.5a L. James 21.1p / 5.8r / 6.8a |
C. Cunningham 24.5p / 5.6r / 9.9a J. Duren 19.2p / 10.5r / 1.7a T. Harris 13.1p / 5.2r / 2.4a |
| Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic | Magic 🔥 | 85% | +357 pts | P. Siakam 23.8p / 6.6r / 3.9a A. Nembhard 17.2p / 2.8r / 7.2a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
P. Banchero 22.2p / 8.5r / 5.1a F. Wagner 21.3p / 5.8r / 3.6a D. Bane 20.4p / 4.2r / 4.2a |
| Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers | Thunder ✅ | 69% | 264 pts | S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.6p / 4.4r / 6.6a J. Williams 17.5p / 4.7r / 5.4a C. Holmgren 17.2p / 9.0r / 1.7a |
T. Maxey 29.0p / 4.1r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.6p / 7.5r / 3.9a P. George 16.0p / 5.1r / 3.7a |
| San Antonio Spurs @ Miami Heat | Spurs ✅ | 68% | 257 pts | V. Wembanyama 24.3p / 11.1r / 3.0a D. Fox 19.0p / 3.8r / 6.3a S. Castle 16.5p / 5.0r / 7.1a |
N. Powell 22.3p / 3.6r / 2.6a T. Herro 21.5p / 5.0r / 3.9a B. Adebayo 20.4p / 9.9r / 2.9a |
| Memphis Grizzlies @ Atlanta Hawks | Hawks 🔥 | 79% | +260 pts | T. Jerome 19.9p / 2.9r / 5.8a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a S. Aldama 14.0p / 6.7r / 2.9a |
J. Johnson 22.7p / 10.4r / 8.0a N. Alexander-Walker 20.3p / 3.4r / 3.6a C. McCollum 18.7p / 3.4r / 3.7a |
| Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls | Rockets 🔥 | 70% | 247 pts | K. Durant 25.7p / 5.4r / 4.4a A. Sengun 20.2p / 8.9r / 6.1a A. Thompson 18.0p / 7.9r / 5.3a |
J. Giddey 17.6p / 8.3r / 9.0a M. Buzelis 16.1p / 5.6r / 2.0a C. Sexton 14.5p / 2.0r / 3.4a |
| Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz | Raptors ✅ | 64% | 245 pts | B. Ingram 21.6p / 5.6r / 3.7a R. Barrett 18.9p / 5.4r / 3.2a S. Barnes 18.6p / 7.8r / 5.4a |
L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
| Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks | Warriors | 59% | 122 pts | S. Curry 27.2p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 16.5p / 4.8r / 2.6a |
C. Flagg 20.1p / 6.7r / 4.5a N. Marshall 15.3p / 4.8r / 3.2a P. Washington 14.3p / 7.0r / 1.8a |
| Brooklyn Nets @ Portland Trail Blazers | Blazers 🔥 | 81% | +236 pts | M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.5p / 4.1r / 1.7a N. Claxton 11.8p / 7.1r / 3.8a |
D. Avdija 24.2p / 7.0r / 6.8a S. Sharpe 21.4p / 4.4r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.2a |
| Milwaukee Bucks @ LA Clippers | Clippers 🔥 | 71% | +175 pts | G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 16.9p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
K. Leonard 28.3p / 6.3r / 3.7a D. Garland 18.9p / 2.4r / 6.9a B. Mathurin 18.5p / 5.6r / 2.3a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
